Optimizing Holiday Drop Timing and Allocation for the WWF Gift Catalog Campaign

Project scope
Categories
Data analysis Data modelling Marketing analytics Data scienceSkills
data analysis predictive modeling time series analysis and forecasting sas enterprise miner base sas conversion rate optimizationThe World Wildlife Fund (WWF) sends ~1.3 Million symbolic adoption catalogs each holiday season to inspire donations for conservation. These catalogs are mailed to a targeted set of existing donors (an “in-house file”) in three drops between October and December.
This project challenges students to use two years of rich data to optimize the drop timing and frequency for future campaigns. Students will explore how donor engagement varies depending on the timing and number of catalogs received per household and develop a data-driven mailing strategy for FY26.
Seasonality plays a major role in the success of the WWFGifts catalog. Donor activity spikes after Thanksgiving, especially around Black Friday, Cyber Monday, Giving Tuesday, and the final guaranteed shipping window before the holidays (usually mid December). Students must balance campaign effectiveness, timing, cost, and donor experience.
Students will receive a two-year SAS dataset (model training) and a separate universe scoring dataset, each containing:
- Past catalog audiences (and non-catalog audiences) from FY25 and FY24, with information regarding the number of catalogs received and which drop they received.
- Giving outcomes: response and amount
- Household and demographic data (age, income, household type, hobbies, home value, census info, etc.)
- 12- and 24-month donation history from other nonprofits and catalogs
- Campaign cost info.
- WWF-specific donation behavior patterns and giving history.
Students are expected to:
- Analyze donor response by drop timing, region, and donor segment
- Train predictive models to estimate response likelihood and expected gift amount
- Recommend a drop strategy that maximizes net income (accounting for catalog costs)
- Develop a solution for:
- a constrained total mail volume (~1.3M catalogs across ~933K households)
- an unconstrained total mail volume that maximizes net income
Deliverables
1. A presentation summarizing:
- Analytical findings
- Model results
- Key donor behavior trends
- Strategic recommendations
2. A FY26 drop allocation plan:
- How many drops each segment should receive
- When each drop should occur
- Volume plan that aligns with budget and prior year totals
3. Supporting materials:
- SAS based analysis code
- Visualizations (e.g., projected response curves, revenue by timing, percentile plots, etc.)
Providing specialized, in-depth knowledge and general industry insights for a comprehensive understanding.
Sharing knowledge in specific technical skills, techniques, methodologies required for the project.
Direct involvement in project tasks, offering guidance, and demonstrating techniques.
Providing access to necessary tools, software, and resources required for project completion.
Scheduled check-ins to discuss progress, address challenges, and provide feedback.
Supported causes
The global challenges this project addresses, aligning with the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). Learn more about all 17 SDGs here.
About the company
WWF works to help local communities conserve the natural resources they depend upon; transform markets and policies toward sustainability; and protect and restore species and their habitats. Our efforts ensure that the value of nature is reflected in decision-making from a local to a global scale.
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